Saturday, July 13, 2024

NBA Betting: Favourite picks for Dec. 29


There are ten video games on the NBA slate tonight, starting at 7 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. ET. Whereas the Celtics barely defeated the Detroit Pistons in extra time, can they keep undefeated at dwelling tonight? With Joel Embiid out for the 76ers, can Philadelphia seize the win towards Houston on the highway? On this article, I’m selecting my favourite NBA performs of the day. You possibly can wager them single, or group right into a parlay, your alternative. I selected to take every particular person straight bets and positioned 1 unit on every. Right here you can see the NBA betting odds, stats, traits, participant prop bets, and predictions for Friday, Dec. 29

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Knicks (-1) (-115) @ Magic (-105): O/U 226
Nets (-6) (-238) @ Wizards (+195): O/U 241.5
Kings (-1) @ Hawks (-110): O/U 252
Bucks (-6) (-238) @ Cavaliers (+195): O/U 239.5
Raptors (+195) @ Celtics (-6)(-238): O/U 224.5
76ers (-1.5)(-118) @ Rockets (-102): O/U 224
Thunder (+100) @ Nuggets (-1.5) (-120): O/U 236.5
Hornets (+800) @ Suns (-16)(-1350): O/U 232
Spurs (+190) @ Path Blazers (-230) (-5.5): O/U 233
Grizzlies (+210) @ Clippers (-6)(-258): O/U 225.5

Guess #1: Toronto Raptors +6 vs. Celtics

The Boston Celtics (24-6, 15-0 dwelling) will host the Toronto Raptors (12-18, 4-9 away) at dwelling tonight. The one undefeated workforce at dwelling, the Celtics are coming off an exciting 128-122 extra time victory towards the Pistons. Whereas Boston has a 3-1 win/loss document coming off back-to-back video games, I selected to remain away from the cash line tonight.

Tonight, Boston are the clear reduce favorites, with a 65.8 p.c likelihood to win, in line with ESPN Analytics. Nevertheless, there’s a lot uncertainty within the lineup, with Jrue Vacation, Jaylen Brown, and Jayson Tatum all listed as questionable. Even worse, Boston can be with out Kristaps Porzingis and Al Horford, as Horford would not play in back-to backs.

Whereas the Raptors are pretty wholesome, they’re 14-16-0 towards the unfold, by which they’ve a 4-9 win/loss document on the highway. 3-7 of their final ten video games, they not too long ago lined the favored -6.5 unfold towards the Wizards. Apart from that, they have not been capable of cowl any unfold since Dec. 18 versus the Charlotte Hornets. Solely 2-3 of their final 5 matchups, Toronto had some powerful appears to be like towards Philadelphia and Denver. Respectively, they misplaced to the 76ers by ten factors, and the Nuggets, 9 factors.

Total, the Celtics personal the Raptors, standing at 8-2 towards them within the final ten conferences. Their first matchup, Boston smoked Toronto, 117-94 at dwelling, which I used to be in attendance. Their second matchup, the Raptors stored the sport inside three factors at dwelling. It is vital to notice, the Celtics beginning 5 was totally wholesome for that recreation.

For the Celtics, they’re 9-1 of their final ten video games, together with 4 consecutive wins. Nevertheless, they barely snuck out a win versus the Pistons, and are banged up. 15-13-2 towards the unfold, the Celtics mockingly common essentially the most factors off zero days relaxation, at 126.8. Boston has already confronted a number of checks with numerous gamers out of the lineup. With Horford and Porzingis out tonight, Lamar Stevens will get the take a look at at Middle. If there are extra accidents, I would not be as reluctant to take Toronto cash line.

Offensively, these two groups aren’t on the identical wavelength when wholesome. Unable to generate satisfactory offense, the Raptors rank 18th in offensive effectivity( 113.5), the place the Celtics rank 4th general (120.5). Whereas Toronto began off as among the finest defensive groups, they rank 14th in defensive effectivity, whereas Boston ranks close to the highest.

Coming off a 132-102 victory over the Washington Wizards is not definitely an announcement, however the Raptors do maintain the momentum. After avoiding an embarassing loss yesterday, the Raptors ought to be capable to reap the benefits of the Celtics grueling schedule, together with their damage illnesses.

Head coach Darko Rajakovic has performed round with the beginning 5, taking Dennis Schroder out for Gary Trent Jr. It is vital to notice, Siakam, Anunoby, and Barnes are all coming over 20+ level video games.

Given the Raptors aren’t horrible defensively, I anticipate them to hold round with the Celtics tonight. I might be genuinely shocked if each Tatum, Brown, and Vacation all determined to suite up. Search for Toronto to capitalize tonight.

Guess #2: Trae Younger 10+ Assists vs. Kings

Stats courtesy Propsdotcash

If there is a participant prop I like tonight, It is Trae Younger to have over 10 assists. Averaging 28.1 factors and 11.3 assists per recreation, Younger will get the Sacramento Kings who allowed the twenty third most assists (27.2) within the NBA. Coming off 4 straight video games with 13 plus, is there any workforce that may cease Younger from dispensing dimes as of proper now?

10 + assists is a prop that is hit 67 p.c this season, and in eight straight video games. If you happen to’re betting on the NBA, the Hawks play at dwelling, the place Younger is coming off a 15 and 13 whole help night time towards the Detroit Pistons, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Whereas i’ve made the error of taking beneath Younger assists, it is exhausting to fade a participant who’s averaging 40 minutes within the final three video games, and hasn’t dished out lower than ten assists since Dec. 11 towards the Nuggets.

The return of Jalen Johnson has been a huge effect on the Hawks offensively. Sharing the backcourt with Dejounte Murray, Younger has the choice of hitting Bey and Bogdanovich, who’s been a confirmed sniper from downtown. Though DeAndre Hunter is out for tonights matchup, the Kings have not too long ago allowed Scoot Henderson, and Jrue Vacation to hit 10+ assists.

Surprisingly, the Hawks have the fifth greatest offensive within the league, despite the fact that they stand at 12-18. Whereas they rank center of the highway in assists, it is the protection that is been a problem. Presently, Younger leads the Hawks in factors scored and assists. In his first assembly with Sacramento this season, he final had seven and 6 assists towards the Kings 2022, and early 2023.

Sure the Hawks are struggling, nevertheless, Younger has clearly proved his worth, particularly for the reason that workforce capabilities considerably higher when he is on the courtroom. Placing up historic numbers, it is exhausting to fade this prop, as I’ll proceed to trip the new hand. Plus, the Kings are a multitude defensively. Since his prop line is decrease than his season common, I am taking Younger to have a giant night time tonight.

Guess #3: Bradley Beal 12.5+ Factors vs. Hornets

Stats courtesy Propsdotcash

It is no secret the Phoenix Suns are struggling, and that is been primarily as a consequence of Bradley Beals damage historical past. A workforce that is constructed to “win now” with Booker, Beal, and Durant, search for Beal to make an instantaneous impression tonight towards the Hornets. Usually, I do not wager on participant props, particularly getting back from damage. Nevertheless, Phoenix has a chief matchup with Charlotte, and with rising frustrations within the Valley, they’ll want him to step up tonight.

12.5 factors is a low whole, particularly for Beal who’s used to being the primary scorer. Though a small pattern measurement, Beal hit the over in 5 of the six matchups he is performed this season. A 86 p.c hit price throughout the 2022/2023 season, over 12.5 factors has hit in 11 of his final 15 video games.

Tonight, the Suns will face the Hornets who permit the twenty sixth most factors within the NBA (121). Even worse, they rank close to final in a number of statistical classes, together with rebound, assists, opponent three-point share, and subject aim share. With LaMelo Ball out with damage, the Hornets will even be with out Gordon Hayward tonight. On the highway, that primarily leaves Brandon Miller or Terry Rozier with the duty of guarding Beal.

In his final three outings towards Charlotte, the newly acquired guard scored 26, 33, and 17 factors, all again final season, and as a member of the Washington Wizards. Sure, he’ll should share the scoring with Durant and Booker. Nevertheless, with a number of minimal participant signed, Beal ought to take the beginning place of Grayson Allen or Eric Gordon. Apart from that, Phoenix ranks twenty sixth in bench factors with 29.4 per recreation.

Whereas it is unclear if he can be on a minute restriction, Charlotte most not too long ago allowed Bennedict Mathurin, Gary Trent Jr. Duncan Robinson, Coby White, and Cam Thomas to all rating over 12.5 factors. Whereas Beal was harm towards the Knicks on Dec.15, he did rating six factors in 5 minutes.

7-9 at dwelling, the Suns will look to bounce again in entrance of their dwelling followers at FootPrint Middle. In 5 video games at dwelling, Beal hit over this prop in 4 of 5 video games, together with 24 factors towards the Los Angeles Lakers.

In six common season matchups, the guard is averaging 14.7 factors, on 42.9 p.c three-point and 44.9 subject aim taking pictures. After going by means of a tricky 3-9 stretch, the Suns are coming off a formidable 129-113 victory over the Rockets. Though the massive three have solely performed 25 minutes collectively this season, I am all on the Beal practice tonight versus a weak protection riddled with accidents.

Guess #4: Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder +1.5 vs. Nuggets

Barely a dangerous play tonight, I like the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder to cowl the unfold tonight towards the Denver Nuggets. 20-9 on the season, the Thunder are 8-4 on the highway, whereas the Nuggets are 13-2 at dwelling. Two of one of the best groups within the west, Oklahoma Metropolis presently stands a recreation behind Denver for the No. 3 seed. With such a younger, proficient core, the Thunder lead the Western Convention with a +7.7 level differential, and rank sixth in offensive score (118.8).

Do not be alarmed, the Thunder are the actual deal. With Chet Holmgren favored to win Rookie of the 12 months, the workforce performs at a quick tempo, and just like the Nuggets, are on the prime when it comes to assists/turnover ratio. Defensively, they rank sixth in defensive score, holding opponents to 113.6 factors per recreation. Offensively, each the Thunder and Nuggets averaging close to the identical three-point share, and Oklahoma Metropolis ranks third general in subject aim share (49.7).

To me, these groups are pretty comparable on paper, besides the actual fact Denver has NBA Championship expertise. Using a six recreation win streak, the Nuggets are coming off a 37 level win towards the Memphis Grizzlies, and can have a back-to-back recreation tonight. Very similar to the Boston Celtics, the Denver Nuggets have a 5-1 document when coming off zero days relaxation, and Nikola Jokic is coming off a triple double towards Memphis.

Whereas Denver is enjoying unbelievable, so are the Thunder. 20-9 towards the unfold, the Thunder are 7-3 of their final ten video games. What’s extra spectacular, this workforce had exhausting fought victories over the Knicks, Timberwolves, Clippers, and Warriors. Of their final matchup, the Thunder lined the +5.5 unfold, the defeated the Nuggets 118-117.

It is price a shot to sprinkle slightly bit on the Thunder, who’re clearly successful video games versus groups over .500, and already beat the Nuggets as soon as. They’re a greater taking pictures workforce and might completely dangle in there defensively. They’re 5-1 towards the unfold of their final six video games. If you happen to’re betting on the NBA, I might ever choose Thunder cash line as a straight wager.

We now are partnered with Prize Picks and Props.Money! Use code ‘BIL’ on the Props.Money cell app or web site for a 25% low cost in your first month’s subscription! Analysis Props Device that will help you discover the whole lot you want FAST to your wager. While you join Prize Picks, use the code LIFE. 

Click on right here to enroll in Props.Money

Keep tuned for extra NBA betting associated articles. Click on right here

Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports activities Content material Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a deal with the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane presently resides in Connecticut/NYC space together with her Cat and Canine. SJ has her undergraduate diploma from the College of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in enterprise administration.



Related Articles

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Latest Articles