Wednesday, June 19, 2024

NBA Betting: Bucks vs. Spurs, Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds & Bets

(Picture by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Photos)

There are two prime time video games on the NBA Slate for tonight. The Milwaukee Bucks (24-10, 8-7 away) will matchup towards the San Antonio Spurs (5-28, 2-14 residence) on the street tonight. With tip off at 10 p.m. ET, the Golden State Warriors (16-17, 10-8 residence) will host the Denver Nuggets (24-11, 10-8 away) at residence.  On this article, I’ve offered my greatest picks for tonight. For those who’re seeking to wager on the NBA, each video games will air on TNT, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET. With these picks, you possibly can group them right into a parlay, or take them as straight bets.  Right here you can find the NBA betting odds, stats, traits, participant prop bets, and predictions for Thursday, Jan. 4.

NBA Each day Recreation Odds for 1/4

*Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook*

Milwaukee Bucks (-9) (-420) @ San Antonio Spurs (+330): O/U 247.5
Nuggets (-3.5) @ Warriors (+142): O/U 235.8

3 Leg Parlay Odds: +260 (25 % Increase) .6u

NBA Guess #1 Milwaukee Bucks -9

(Picture by Juan Ocampo/NBAE through Getty Photos)

The Milwaukee Bucks will face the San Antonio Spurs on the street tonight. Coming off a 142-130 loss towards the Indiana Pacers, the Bucks will play their second consecutive recreation. For the Spurs, they’re coming off three straight losses, towards the Grizzlies, Celtics, and Path Blazers.

2-8 of their final ten video games, the Spurs have simply two residence victories, and racked up solely two wins because the starting of November. With victories over the Lakers and Path Blazers, the Spurs proceed to undergo it.

With that mentioned, the Milwaukee Bucks are 24-10, and 1st within the Central Division. Nonetheless, they’re coming off two straight losses towards the Indiana Pacers, and have not fairly discovered their stride defensively and with chemistry. Whereas Kendrick Perkins lately said not many individuals are fearing the deer, he isn’t precisely flawed. 7-3 of their final ten matchups, the Bucks are chilly, successful simply two of the final 5 video games.

Whereas the Bucks are 15-18-1 towards the unfold, the Spurs have a document of 13-20-0. Each groups not nice at masking spreads, Milwaukee is 1-0 towards San Antonio, successful the final two conferences. Having most lately met on Dec. 19, the Bucks carried away the 132- 119 victory over the Spurs, wherein San Antonio lined the 16.5 underdog unfold. Successful the final two matchups by greater than 9 factors, I’ll take that unfold tonight. During the last two video games, Milwaukee has a 24.5 level differential, which is nearly 15 factors excessive than what the unfold is at tonight.

This can be a should win for Milwaukee

Tonight is a should win for Milwaukee, particularly coming off these loses. They face a Spurs crew, who’s averaging beneath 100 factors in the previous few matchups towards the Grizzlies and Celtics. Whereas the general public has closely scrutinized the Detroit Pistons, the San Antonio Spurs have equally been a catastrophe this season.

By means of 33 video games performed, the Spurs rank close to final in offensive effectivity (107.1), and twenty fifth in defensive ranking (118.7). Permitting near 123 opponent factors per recreation, San Antonio is atrocious at defending the perimeter, and permit groups to shoot 49 p.c from the sphere. Even with rookie sensation Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs give up 46.8 rebounds per recreation, which is second to final, subsequent to Washington.

San Antonio has rising pains

Sadly, the statistics do not lie, and issues do not get a lot better for the Spurs on the offensive finish. One of many worst three-point capturing squads, they put up a low 110 factors per recreation. Solely capturing 45 p.c as a squad, additionally they flip the ball over 15 occasions a recreation, which is a excessive price.

Whereas protection has been an issue for Milwaukee, they nonetheless stay the most effective groups within the Jap Convention, rating third general in offensive ranking. With Lillard nonetheless adjusting to his new crew, there have been some inconsistencies. With Giannis a nightly double-double machine, these two groups actually do not examine on paper. For the Spurs to cowl, the Bucks must collapse, and select to take a seat out their fundamental gamers.

For those who’re betting on the NBA, my greatest decide is for Milwaukee to cowl the unfold tonight. 5-5 towards the unfold of their final ten video games, they’re averaging greater than 10 factors extra per recreation than the Spurs. Averaging 128 factors during the last ten video games, the Spurs solely common 114. Whereas San Antonio head coach Greg Popovich is properly revered, the Spurs are one of many youngest groups within the league (24 years). With the Spurs proceed to show rising pains, the Bucks common 124.4 factors on the street.

The Spurs common round seven factors extra per recreation at residence, nonetheless, I am unable to see them masking the unfold tonight.

NBA Guess # 2: Jamal Murray 20 + Factors

Season Stats PPG: 19.7 | FG: 46.9 % | 3 PT: 34.6 % | FT: 88.7 % | REB: 3.9  | AST: 6.2 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 0.8

If there’s any NBA betting prop I really like tonight, It is Jamal Murray to have 20+ factors scored towards the Golden State Warriors. Averaging 19.7 factors, Murray is placing up 21 factors on 45.8 p.c three-point, and 47.9 p.c area purpose capturing over a stretch of ten video games. Murray, now in his seventh season with the Nuggets, is averaging a career-highs from the three-point line.

Again from damage, Murray hit 20 + factors in 53 p.c of video games this season. Nonetheless, he is been extra constant as of late, nailing this prop within the final seven of eight video games. Coming off a 25 level efficiency towards the Charlotte Hornets, Murray hit over 20 factors in 9 of twelve video games within the month of December.

Statistics courtesy of Propsdotcash. Graph above exhibits the stat line for Murray during the last ten video games.

Regardless of taking part in simply 21 video games this season, the previous Wildcat is fourth in area purpose makes an attempt, behind Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., and Reggie Jackson. Second in factors per recreation scored for the Nuggets this season, Murray leads Denver in area purpose makes an attempt with 163 during the last 10 video games. Whereas Porter Jr. is a vital contributor of this crew, Murray and Jokic stay the heavy hitters when it comes to factors scored.

Talking of Jokic, he is been taking a again seat the final couple of video games, scoring simply 13 factors towards Charlotte, and 19 factors towards Oklahoma Metropolis. With the Joker distributing the ball extra and dominating on the boards, it is left Murray with distinctive quantity capturing.

In a single recreation towards the Warriors, Murray is averaging 28 factors on 60 p.c capturing from downtown, and 55.6 p.c from the sphere. With Chris Paul returning to the lineup, Murray ought to have each matchups towards him and Steph Curry.

Murray’s been constant

For those who’re betting on the NBA, I really like this prop for a large number of causes. Not solely has Murray been on of their most constant scorers, he is averaging 29 factors per recreation within the final three conferences towards Golden State. In actual fact, courting again to Feb. 2023, the guard hasn’t scored lower than 26 factors towards the Bay.

Averaging 16.3 area purpose makes an attempt within the final 10 video games, Murray is coming off a 5 three-pointer evening. Enjoying round half-hour via the month of December, it is protected to say the quantity and minutes are there for him to hit this prop tonight.

Statistics courtesy of Propsdotcash. Within the graph above, Jamal Murray over prop hit share is 100 % versus the Warriors.

Though they are going to be within the Bay Space, Murray hit this prop in 4 straight street video games, together with 32 factors towards the Brooklyn Nets on Dec. 22. A 77 p.c hit price within the final 15 street video games, he faces the Warriors, who enable the twentieth most factors (116.3) within the NBA. Whereas Golden State has put collectively a number of beginning lineups, they’ve really improved with perimeter defending. Apart from that, they rank nineteenth in area purpose makes an attempt, and 18th in three-point makes an attempt per recreation.

Why I like this prop tonight

Most lately, this can be a Warriors crew that is allowed guards to ball out. Within the month of December, Tyler Herro, Anfernee Simons, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jordan Poole, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cam Thomas, James Harden, Satan Booker, Norman Powell, amongst others all scored over 20 factors. Coming off two days relaxation, Murray hit this prop in 4 of 5 video games, and 11 of the final 15.

With the road initially at 22.5 factors scored, Murray hit that via six video games, and he’s typically neglected by Jokic. Whereas Denver expressed they play to win, and never for stats, Murray ought to hit this prop tonight. In a position to rating from wherever on the court docket, Murray is averaging 21 factors within the final 5 matchups. Given this can be a primetime matchup on TNT, anticipate this to be a intense matchup tonight.

NBA Guess #3 Jonathan Kuminga O 3.5 Rebounds

Season Stats PPG: 12.7 | FG: 50.2 % | 3 PT: 28.4 % | FT: 67.8 % | REB: 4.1  | AST: 1.3 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.3

In his third season with the Warriors, Jonathan Kuminga is averaging profession highs in factors , minutes, and rebounds. With Draymond Inexperienced out on account of a suspension, the ahead has taken benefit of taking part in time, beginning 11 of 32 video games performed this season. In actual fact, his 19 level, two block, 4 help, and 6 rebound efficiency towards the Magic left head coach Steve Kerr impressed.

Statistics courtesy of Propsdotcash.

Praised for his skill to play on either side of the ball, at 6 foot 7, Kuminga is averaging 14.5 factors and 5.5 in his final ten video games. Extra spectacular, he had 12 boards towards OKC this month, together with 9 towards the Dallas Mavericks. Whereas he is actually earned extra minutes as a member of the Warriors transferring ahead, he is made necessary strides this season in turning into a two-way participant.

With the road moved to three.5, Kuminga hit over the prop whole 54 p.c this season. Whereas getting extra begins of current, the third yr ahead grabbed over 3.5 boards in 12 straight video games, and one hundred pc within the final 10. With the Warriors at residence tonight, he is hit his rebound props in seven consecutive video games on the Chase Middle, and in 80 p.c of the final ten. With a mean of 5.8 rebounds within the final seven video games, I am even assured taking the 4.5. During the last ten video games, he hasn’t grabbed something lower than 4 volumes. That proper there speaks quantity, particularly towards a Denver crew that is not nice defensively towards energy forwards.

Statistics courtesy of Propsdotcash. The graph above exhibits the traits during the last ten residence video games.

He is been impactful for the Warriors

For those who’re betting on the NBA, Kuminga has made an impression, particularly with Draymond Inexperienced away from the crew. Whereas there is not a set date for Inexperienced to return, I’ll proceed to journey these props. Tonight, the Warriors get the Nuggets, who rank twelfth general in rebounds (43), eleventh in offensive boards, and 18th in defensive rebounds.

Whereas Jokic is a presence down beneath, the Nuggets allowed P.J. Washington, Jaylin Williams, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Dario Saric to all hit over 3.5 rebounds over the previous few weeks. With a 60 p.c hit price in 5 video games towards the Nuggets, Kuminga hasn’t had an issue on the glass towards Denver. In a position to hit over 3.5 rebounds in two straight video games towards the Nuggets, the ahead has a mixed 9 rebounds.

Ranked because the second greatest rebounding crew (46.9) behind the Boston Celtics, the Warriors will closely depend on a mixture of their beginning lineup for boards. Whereas Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. are additionally nice rebounders, I actually imagine 3.5 is a low line for Kuminga.

Coming off sooner or later of relaxation, Kuminga has been spectacular on the boards of late, grabbing over 3.5 in 5 of six video games, together with these 12 towards the Thunder. In a position to clear 5+ rebounds in 5 straight video games, he additionally has a mean of 10.6 rebound probabilities over these final 5 matchups.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports activities Content material Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a deal with the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane presently resides in Connecticut/NYC space together with her Cat and Canine. SJ has her undergraduate diploma from the College of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in enterprise administration.

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