Tuesday, July 23, 2024

NBA betting: rivals week prop bets

Rivals week continues within the NBA, and there are seven video games on the NBA slate. There are two featured matchups on TNT, which incorporates the Boston Celtics vs. Miami Warmth, and Sacramento Kings vs. the Golden State Warriors. In different matchups, the Philadelphia 76ers will face the Indiana Pacers on the street. Beginning at 10:30 p.m. ET, there will likely be a basic rival showdown between the Los Angeles Lakers and the Chicago Bulls.

I’ve a number of really helpful participant props for at present. For my picks, I took all of them as straight bets, not more than 1 u on every. Right here you will see the NBA betting odds, stats, tendencies, participant prop bets, and predictions for Thursday, Jan. 25.

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Odds are present as of Jan. 25, at 4 p.m. ET
SJ’s NBA Participant Prop report this season: 16-13

NBA Wager #1: Steph Curry O 27.5 Factors (-130) DK

Season Stats PPG: 26.8 | FG: 44.6 % | 3 PT: 40.1 % | FT: 92.6 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 5 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 0.5

The Golden State Warriors (19-22) will host the Sacramento Kings (24-18) tonight at dwelling. If you happen to’re betting on the NBA, I’ve Warriors guard Steph Curry to attain over 27.5 factors tonight. At -130 odds on DraftKings, he has a major matchup tonight in opposition to the Kings.

I needed to initially guess the below tonight, till I noticed his numbers in opposition to the Kings. A prop thats solely hit 46 p.c this season, Curry has six straight video games below 27.5 factors. He is due, and this time Golden State will get dwelling courtroom benefit for rivals week.

Tonight, Curry will get the Kings, who enable the twentieth most factors per sport (117.7), and 21 most assists (27.2). Much like final season, they’ve bother defending the perimeter, permitting groups to place up 13.4 three-pointers a sport at 39 p.c. Groups are taking pictures at a excessive clip in opposition to Sacramento (48.5 p.c), and tonight they face probably the greatest shooters within the historical past of the NBA.

Statistics courtesy of Props.Money

Traditionally, Curry’s balled out in opposition to Sacramento. What’s there to not love a couple of rivals sport that will likely be broadcasted on TNT this night? Within the final 14 conferences in opposition to the Kings, Curry has over 27.5 factors in 11 of them, together with 29 their final matchup. Over these 14 video games, the guard averages 32.7 factors in opposition to the Kings.

Hitting over factors in 90 p.c of his final ten matchups in opposition to them, Curry has a profession common of 24.6 factors in 45 profession video games in opposition to Sacramento. In three video games in opposition to them this yr, he is placing up an unimaginable 30.3 factors, on 46.9 p.c three-point taking pictures. Whereas the road is at 27.5, his common vs. the Kings is over three factors above that tonight.

Sacramento ranks twenty first defensively in opposition to level guards, permitting T.J. McConnell, Damian Lillard, Cameron Payne, Dejounte Murray, and Bogdan Bogdanovic to all hit over their factors props this week. Though the road is slicing it shut, Curry is placing up 27.1 factors in 21 dwelling video games this season.

Though Curry is barely averaging 24.5 factors within the final ten video games, his shot quantity and minutes stay pretty regular. He is coming off a 25 level efficiency in opposition to the Hawks, by which the guard shot 62.5 p.c from the sphere. With Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, and Chris Paul all out with accidents, Curry would not have a lot depth behind him at level guard. Anticipate Curry to go off tonight.

NBA Wager #2: John Collins O 19.5 Factors and Rebounds (-115) DK

Season Stats PPG: 13.8 | FG: 49.9 % | 3 PT: 35.6 % | FT: 88.9 % | REB: 7.6 | AST: 1 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.8

Certainly one of my favourite props to guess on this season is John Collins over factors and rebounds. With a 76 p.c hit price on the season, the Jazz are on the rebound, regardless of dropping three video games in a row. Tonight the Jazz get the Washington Wizards, who’re one of many least environment friendly groups on the defensive finish.

The Wizards are within the basement so far as defensive ranks. They permit practically probably the most factors, rebounds, assists, and area purpose proportion within the league. Coming off a 14 level, 9 rebound sport in opposition to the Pelicans, he faces the Wizards, by which he put up a mixed 26 factors and rebounds final assembly.

Statistics courtesy of Props.Money

Collins continues to hit over this prop, even with Clarkson and Sexton again within the lineup. Whereas I’ve gotten the road as little as 16.5, I’m assured on the present line of 19.5, particularly given the matchup tonight. Averaging 27.5 minutes on the season, this prop has successful price of 76 p.c when Collins performs these minutes or extra.

Total, Washington is poor defensively in opposition to facilities, even with a matchup in opposition to Gafford and Kuzma. If you happen to’re betting on the NBA over factors and rebounds hit in 9 of 12 video games up to now in January. Behind Collins is Kelly Olynyk and Walker Kessler, who have not practically been efficient as Collins defensively as of late. Whereas protection is not Collins robust go well with, he is been environment friendly on the boards and offensive finish. Within the final 10 video games, he is placing up a mixed 21 factors and rebounds.

This line ought to truthfully be larger for Collins, who stays a strong starter and scorer for Utah Jazz. Because the main rebounder on this Jazz workforce, he is been in a position to hit this prop, even in a number of video games the place he entered foul bother. I will preserve betting on this prop till the wheels fall off. He ought to eat tonight, particularly because the Wizards enable the second most paint factors within the NBA.

NBA Wager #3: Kristaps Porzingis O 26.5 Factors, Assists, and Rebounds (-110) DK

Season Stats PPG: 19.5 | FG: 52.5 % | 3 PT: 35 % | FT: 83.7 % | REB: 6.8 | AST: 2 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 1.9

The Boston Celtics get one other matchup with Jap Convention rival Miami Warmth on the street tonight. Whereas it is onerous to guess on Boston props, I just like the matchup for Kristaps Porzingis tonight.

A 56 p.c hit price this season, Porzingis over 26.5 factors, rebounds, and assists has hit in three of the final 5 matchups, together with two straight video games in opposition to the Rockets and Nuggets. Tonight, he has a contact matchup in opposition to Bam Adebayo, by which the Warmth enable solely 110.5 factors per sport. Hitting 4 of the final six video games, we will not overlook his historical past in opposition to Miami.

Once I have a look at head-to-head matchups, I do take note of if the gamers have been on completely different rosters. Though Porzingis was on the Wizards final yr, he is hit this prop in 75 p.c of the final 4 matchups in opposition to Miami. The truth is, he is coming off 27 factors and assists again in October in opposition to the Warmth.

Statistics courtesy of Props.Money

Purple scorching as of late, Porzingis has confirmed the Celtics he can step up when everybody else is struggling. Coming off a number of days relaxation, Porzingis poured in 32 factors, 6 rebounds, and one help in opposition to the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Properly rested, I like this prop even higher with him having the time to recuperate.

Coming off three-days relaxation, the Unicorn has successful price of 100% in opposition to the Raptors, Cavaliers and Denver Nuggets. The Celtics thrive on three level taking pictures, and may be capable to drag Bam Adebayo exterior the paint. Defensively, he ought to excel on the boards given Adebayo is strictly an inside massive, and is not a risk from the perimeter.

During the last month, Chet Holmgren, Alperen Sengün, and Wendell Carter Jr. all hit over factors, rebounds, and assists. Even with the addition of Terry Rozier, the Warmth are struggling, dropping 4 straight video games straight. Porzingis is contemporary off relaxation, and is within the midst of an unimaginable taking pictures month (43.6 p.c from deep).

With Abebayo within the paint, the Warmth power groups to shoot from exterior. Whereas they battle to defend the perimeter at occasions, Porzingis excels very properly within the two man sport. Anticipate Porzingis to get a ton of outdoor seems to be when Tatum or another person is double teamed. I will journey the new hand tonight, particularly in opposition to a Miami workforce who allowed the Grizzlies to shoot practically 50 p.c from three.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports activities Content material Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a concentrate on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane at present resides in Connecticut/NYC space together with her Cat and Canine. SJ has her undergraduate diploma from the College of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in enterprise administration.

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